Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.001712 0.001826 0.001944 0.002076 0.002219 0.002370 0.002540
2025-01-05 0.001529 0.001688 0.001860 0.002059 0.002285 0.002534 0.002831
2025-01-12 0.001387 0.001570 0.001774 0.002020 0.002307 0.002636 0.003041
2025-01-19 0.001289 0.001490 0.001720 0.002003 0.002344 0.002746 0.003259
2025-01-26 0.001176 0.001382 0.001622 0.001924 0.002298 0.002749 0.003339
2025-02-02 0.001147 0.001370 0.001635 0.001976 0.002408 0.002942 0.003662
2025-02-09 0.001113 0.001349 0.001635 0.002009 0.002494 0.003108 0.003956
2025-02-16 0.001107 0.001361 0.001674 0.002093 0.002647 0.003364 0.004382
2025-02-23 0.001066 0.001326 0.001651 0.002093 0.002688 0.003474 0.004615
2025-03-02 0.001002 0.001259 0.001583 0.002031 0.002642 0.003464 0.004679
2025-03-09 0.000953 0.001208 0.001534 0.001990 0.002622 0.003486 0.004786
2025-03-16 0.000921 0.001179 0.001513 0.001985 0.002650 0.003573 0.004992
2025-03-23 0.000879 0.001137 0.001477 0.001964 0.002662 0.003650 0.005202
2025-03-30 0.000842 0.001101 0.001446 0.001949 0.002683 0.003741 0.005444
2025-04-06 0.000801 0.001057 0.001402 0.001913 0.002669 0.003780 0.005605
2025-04-13 0.000769 0.001025 0.001374 0.001897 0.002684 0.003862 0.005839
2025-04-20 0.000721 0.000968 0.001309 0.001824 0.002609 0.003800 0.005833
2025-04-27 0.000715 0.000970 0.001325 0.001872 0.002720 0.004034 0.006331
2025-05-04 0.000704 0.000964 0.001331 0.001903 0.002806 0.004232 0.006784
2025-05-11 0.000707 0.000978 0.001366 0.001982 0.002970 0.004565 0.007499
2025-05-18 0.000687 0.000959 0.001352 0.001981 0.003007 0.004690 0.007850
2025-05-25 0.000654 0.000918 0.001302 0.001924 0.002947 0.004647 0.007889
2025-06-01 0.000628 0.000886 0.001266 0.001885 0.002917 0.004654 0.008020